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Sunday, June 27, 2010

Game 75: Mets vs Twins

Here is the line-up that will face RHP Scott Baker:

J Reyes, SS
J Feliciano CF
D Wright 3B
I Davis 1B
J Bay LF
R Barajas C
J Francoeur RF
R Tejada 2B
J Niese, P

Baker is a four-pitch pitcher, with a 90-95 mph fastball (averages 91), a curve (81 mph), slider (84 mph) and solid change (83 mph). His curve-ball has been his best pitch this year. He is a fly-ball pitcher. He gets a lot of swings and misses (> 10% past three years) and 35% swing rate at balls out of the zone. He also gets ahead in the count, with a 66% 1st pitch strike rate. One interesting stat: when he falls behind a hitter 2-0 or 3-0, he has thrown a fastball every time this year.

My prediction: Mets win the game, the series and finish up the home-stand 4-2.

As always, LET'S GO METS!

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